central bank digital currency and the future of monetary policy Top stories

2024-12-13 23:57:38

First, I said in the first two articles today that this gap cannot be left today.Second, how will the market go tomorrow?Third, A shares entered a new stage and began to turn downward.


Gap theory has not failed, but the current trend of A-shares is no longer a normal market behavior. It creates a rise for the sake of rising, and there is no market to create a market, in order to let more retail investors enter the market.First, today's gap, like the gap on October 8, can never be left. A shares have begun to turn around and the market has entered a new stage.Let's take a look at the A-share 924 market. Since then, there have been four gaps below the A-share market, which have not been covered. This makes some people say that gap theory is invalid and does not adapt to A-shares, which means that A-shares are invincible in the world, and the technical rules of the stock market that have existed for a hundred years are useless in A-shares, which shows that A-shares are strong. I think this is arrogance.


Let's take a look at the four gaps left by the 924 market: September 24, September 25, September 27 and September 30. Apart from the relatively small gap left on September 24, we can take a seat according to gap theory: September 25 is a breakthrough gap, September 27 is a persistent gap, and the gap left on September 30 is an all-out gap.Since the A-share 924 market, the main capital of A-shares has flowed out of more than 2 trillion yuan. Today, the main capital of the two cities has flowed out of 50.2 billion yuan. According to relevant data, A-shares have little or no new capital. The most active investors in the market are retail investors, and they have also shown a downward trend recently. After these two months of shocks, A-shares have returned to the situation of stock game and want to rise. What should I do? Only rely on good, big good! This also shows that most retail investors are once again caught in the quilt cover situation.Today, the A50 futures index continued to fall, approaching the closing of A shares, and its decline was close to 4%, which was almost 90% of the total increase yesterday. It was precisely because of the continuous decline of the index that the A-share market also surged back today, and it was heavy, which basically confirmed that November 8 was the second highest point of the 924 market, and today's 3494 point was the third highest point. Technically speaking, today was a counter-draw to 3509 points, with a sharp correction at the end of the session.

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